đź—ł Rail disruption

Rail problems, Sask. Party holds contested nomination in PA, new federal polling shows what is motivating Tories, and a closer look at Melville-Saltcoats

August 22, 2024 | Advertise with us

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Good morning! According to CBC Saskatchewan, it appears as though Regina city councillor Dan LeBlanc will not be seeking re-election this fall, after all. We will have more on that situation later this week (hopefully).

Here’s The SKoop for Thursday, August 22:

  • Rail labour disruption will have a major impact in Saskatchewan,

  • Sask. Party holds contested nomination in PA,

  • New federal polling shows Conservative voter motivations, and

  • A closer look at the Melville-Saltcoats constituency.

Today’s Top Stories

Rail labour disruption could mean higher prices and fewer goods

For the first time, Canadian National Railway (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) are both on the brink of locking out thousands of workers amidst negotiations.

The companies say they will start locking out workers in this morning’s early hours if they cannot reach a deal with the union representing 9,300 engineers, conductors and yard workers. That would bring the roughly $1 billion worth of goods that move on the companies' tracks every day to a sudden stop.

Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe told Evan Bray that the federal government needs to step up with a binding arbitration mandate, saying “We want to ensure that the folks that are working on the rail lines are being treated fairly as well, but we do need the service, and we need it desperately.”

Moe also said yesterday that he had spoken with federal Labour minister Steve MacKinnon, saying a rail stoppage would have a “devastating effect” on the country’s economy.

Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland called on the railways and unions to get a deal done, saying, "We simply cannot afford, we cannot tolerate, a self-inflicted wound. And that is why I am saying with real seriousness to the companies and to the union — your country is counting on you. Your friends, your neighbours, your relatives, every single one of them needs you to do your job, take your responsibility seriously and get a deal."

The potential rail strike will impact both the availability and price of commodities and groceries. If items are transported by truck instead of train - if possible - it will take longer and be more expensive.

CEO of Saskatchewan Trade and Export Partnership Chris Dekker warned of the strike and lockout’s detrimental impact saying, “Any disruption of that critical infrastructure could be very detrimental to Saskatchewan’s economy and Saskatchewan’s farmers, producers, manufacturers and business people.”

You can read a more fulsome report on reactions from various industries here.

Learn more about the great work the Saskatchewan Heavy Construction Association and its members are doing at saskheavy.ca.

Sask. Party nominates candidate in Prince Albert Carlton

Kevin Kasun (PANOW)

The Saskatchewan Party held a contested nomination in Prince Albert Carlton last night and local members nominated Kevin Kasun as their candidate.

Kasun has worked for Canada Post as well as with Corrections.

The party needed to find a new candidate after incumbent MLA Joe Hargrave announced his departure from the provincial scene earlier this summer. The riding made provincial news after one nomination candidate faced controversy. The NDP have had their candidate, local nurse Carolyn Brost Strom, nominated for over a year.

Kasun is the 58th of 61 candidates nominated by the Sask. Party ahead of the provincial election. The next nomination for the party is tonight in Saskatoon Riversdale.

Abacus polling details Conservative voter motivation

Abacus Data is back with more federal polling, this time revealing the motivation behind the Conservative’s growing base of support.

The polling shows that 1 in 4 Conservative voters are supporting the party because they want Trudeau to go. Abacus says, “When asked in a follow-up question, how Conservative supporters would react if Prime Minister Trudeau stepped down as Liberal leader, 68% said they would still vote Conservative, “no matter what”. Another 19% say they would probably still vote Conservative but could change their mind. Only 9% would be willing to consider voting Liberal depending on who the new leader is, and none say they would likely vote Liberal if Trudeau stepped down as leader.”

“For context, those current Conservatives who might consider voting Liberal depending on who a new Liberal leader might represent 3% of the electorate. Another 7% say they could change their mind away from the Conservatives. That’s a sizeable portion of the electorate.”

Poilievre’s Conservatives lead Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party 42% to 25%. If the data is correct, a new Liberal leader could potentially make this election close once again, similar to what happened in the United States with Kamala Harris. Until then, polling shows the Conservative Party with a commanding lead.

One other observation from the data is that on the question of a desire for change, 83% of Canadians want to see a change in government and only 14% of Canadians think Justin Trudeau deserves to be re-elected.

The full report can be viewed here.

Constituency Profile Series: Sponsored by Saskatchewan Urban Municipalities Association (SUMA)

SUMA represents over 80% of Saskatchewan residents —cities, towns, villages, resort villages, and northern municipalities—that come together as one urban voice.

We’ve been here since 1905, advancing collective member interests with various government bodies, improving local governance, and fostering municipal growth. We are the urban hubs where you live, work, and play. We're where your children go to school, where you attend medical appointments at the clinic, and where you stop for coffee.

We are URBAN. To learn more visit www.suma.org.

Warren Kaeding and Karen Hovind

Each week leading up to the 2024 election, The SKoop Political Briefing will highlight a constituency that has nominated a candidate from at least both major parties. Today, we look at Melville-Saltcoats. This rural riding includes the communities of Langenburg, Esterhazy, Melville, Saltcoats and more.

The incumbent: Warren Kaeding was first elected MLA in 2016. He is a former business owner and farmer. He has held various legislative roles and was a member of the cabinet from 2018-2022. He was acclaimed last year.

The challenger: Karen Hovind is a teacher and STF councillor. She was previously a town councillor in Saltcoats and currently works at Melville Comprehensive School. Hovind obtained her Master of Education degree in 2021 with a focus on social and structural issues that affect education. She won a contested nomination a few weeks ago.

The takeaway: This is a safe Sask. Party seat. The Sask. Party has held this riding since its inception in 1997 with one of the party’s founders Bob Bjornerud. In the 2020 election, Kaeding won with 76% of the vote.

2024 Election Candidate Tracker

  • Premier Scott Moe - Rosthern Shellbrook

  • Lisa Lambert - Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood

  • Muhammad Fiaz - Regina Pasqua

  • Jeremy Harrison - Meadow Lake

  • Lori Carr - Estevan-Big Muddy

  • Eric Schmalz - Saskatchewan Rivers

  • David Buckingham - Saskatoon Westview

  • Bronwyn Eyre - Saskatoon Stonebridge

  • Jeremy Cockrill - The Battlefords

  • Ken Cheveldayoff - Saskatoon Willowgrove

  • Gene Makowsky - Regina University

  • Alana Ross - Prince Albert Northcote

  • Christine Tell - Regina Wascana Plains

  • David Marit - Wood River

  • Doug Steele - Cypress Hills

  • Terry Jenson - Warman

  • Daryl Harrison - Cannington

  • Travis Keisig - Last Mountain Touchwood

  • Everett Hindley - Swift Current

  • Todd Goudy - Melfort

  • Sean Wilson - Canora-Pelly

  • Warren Kaeding - Melville-Saltcoats

  • Tim McLeod - Moose Jaw North

  • Paul Merriman - Saskatoon Silverspring

  • Terri Bromm - Carrot River Valley

  • Colleen Young - Lloydminster

  • Jim Reiter - Rosetown-Delisle

  • Jim Lemaigre - Athabasca

  • Kim Gartner - Kindsersley-Biggar

  • Khushdil "Lucky" Mehrok - Regina South Albert

  • Blaine McLeod - Lumsden-Morse

  • Megan Patterson - Moose Jaw Wakamow

  • Darlene Rowden - Batoche

  • Laura Ross - Regina Rochdale

  • David Chan - Yorkton

  • James Thorsteinson - Cut Knife-Turtleford

  • Rahul Singh - Regina Northeast

  • Riaz Ahmad - Regina Coronation Park

  • Ghislaine McLeod - Saskatoon University-Sutherland

  • Jamie Martens - Martensville-Blairmore

  • Maureen Alice Torr - Saskatoon Meewasin

  • Barret Kropf - Dakota-Arm River

  • John Owojori - Saskatoon Southeast

  • Mike Weger - Weyburn-Bengough

  • Brad Crassweller - White City-Qu’appelle

  • Greg Seib - Cumberland

  • Parminder Singh - Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis

  • Racquel Hilbert - Humboldt-Watrous

  • Sarah Wright - Regina Lakeview

  • Zahid Sandhu - Saskatoon Fairview

  • Francis Kreiser - Saskatoon Eastview

  • Jaspreet Mander - Regina Mount Royal

  • Mumtaz Naseeb - Saskatoon Nutana

  • Liaqat Ali - Regina Walsh Acres

  • Caesar Khan - Regina Elphinstone Centre

  • Chris Beaudry - Kelvington-Wadena

  • Dale Hryniuk - Saskatoon Centre

  • Kevin Kasun - Prince Albert Carlton

  • Nicole Rancourt - Prince Albert Northcote

  • Joan Pratchler - Regina Rochdale

  • Betty Nippi-Albright - Saskatoon Centre

  • Aleana Young - Regina South Albert

  • Trent Wotherspoon - Regina Mount Royal

  • Nicole Sarauer - Regina Douglas Park

  • Meara Conway - Regina Elphinstone Centre

  • Matt Love - Saskatoon Eastview

  • Nathaniel Teed - Saskatoon Meewasin

  • Erika Ritchie - Saskatoon Nutana

  • Vicki Mowat - Saskatoon Fairview

  • Jordan McPhail - Cumberland

  • Melissa Patterson - Moose Jaw Wakamow

  • Bhajan Brar - Regina Pasqua

  • Tammy Pike - Martensville-Blairmore

  • Darcy Warrington - Saskatoon Stonebridge

  • Tajinder Grewal - Saskatoon University-Sutherland

  • Carolyn Brost-Strom - Prince Albert Carlton

  • Keith Jorgenson - Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood

  • Noor Burki - Regina Coronation Park

  • Jared Clarke - Regina Walsh Acres

  • Jacqueline Roy - Regina Northeast

  • Brenda Edel - Rosetown-Delisle

  • Tom Kroczynski - The Battlefords

  • Don McBean - Saskatoon Chief Mistiwasis

  • Grady Birns - White City-Qu'Appelle

  • Lenore Pinder - Yorkton

  • Lorne Schroeder - Kelvington-Wadena

  • Thera Nordal - Last Mountain-Touchwood

  • Cheantelle Fisher - Moose Jaw North

  • Kim Breckner - Saskatoon Riversdale

  • Alana Wakula - Saskatoon Willowgrove

  • Trina Miller - Batoche

  • Sally Housser - Regina University

  • Wynn Fedorchuk - Canora-Pelly

  • Mike Topola - Wood River

  • April ChiefCalf - Saskatoon Westview

  • Hugh Gordon - Saskatoon Silverspring

  • Brent Blakley - Regina Wascana Plains

  • Miles Nachbaur - Meadow Lake

  • Chauntel Baudu - Lumsden-Morse

  • Leroy Laliberte - Athabasca

  • Brittney Senger - Saskatoon Southeast

  • Erica Baerwald - Warman

  • Doug Racine - Saskatchewan Rivers

  • Adam Tremblay - Lloydminster

  • Jordan Wiens -Dakota-Arm River

  • Karen Hovind - Melville-Saltcoats

  • Kevin Fallis - Humboldt-Watrous

  • Clare McNab - Cypress Hills